by Nate Silver
Silver examines why most predictions fail and what separates the rare forecasters who succeed. Think probabilistically, update beliefs with new data, and know how much signal exists in the noise.
In this collection, The Signal and the Noise references 2 other books and is cited by 3 other books.
It draws on Thinking, Fast and Slow and The Black Swan.
It’s picked up by Head in the Cloud: Why Knowing Things Still Matters When Facts Are So Easy to Look Up, Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy and The Ethical Algorithm: The Science of Socially Aware Algorithm Design.
Scroll down to read the exact passages where other authors reference this book and what they say about it.
The books Silver references and why each one mattered to the argument.
Silver references Kahneman's overconfidence research on forecaster miscalibration.
Silver engages with Taleb's Black Swan, arguing Bayesian updating can improve prediction.
The exact passages where other authors bring up “The Signal and the Noise” and what they take from it.
Cites Silver's The Signal and the Noise on distinguishing signal from noise in a data-saturated environment
Cited in
Head in the Cloud: Why Knowing Things Still Matters When Facts Are So Easy to Look Upby William Poundstone
O'Neil contrasts her WMD framework with Silver's The Signal and the Noise approach to prediction, arguing that when algorithms are deployed at scale on human populations without feedback correction, the noise becomes a self-fulfiling prophecy that entrenches inequality
Cited in
Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracyby Cathy O'Neil
Extends Silver's The Signal and the Noise analysis of overfitting and model error to the domain of algorithmic fairness, showing how differential privacy adds principled noise to prevent individual data leakage
Cited in
The Ethical Algorithm: The Science of Socially Aware Algorithm Designby Michael Kearns and Aaron Roth
How ideas flow through the citation network. Ancestors are books this title builds on; descendants are books that build on it.
Directly cites
Books from completely different categories that share citation overlap with this one. These are the reads you would not find by browsing a single shelf.
The Art of Thinking Clearly
Rolf Dobelli
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Daniel Kahneman
Algorithms to Live By
Brian Christian
Alchemy: The Dark Art and Curious Science of Creating Magic in Brands, Business, and Life
Rory Sutherland
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions
Gerd Gigerenzer
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better
Dan Gardner
Books with the highest citation overlap within the same categories.
The Art of Thinking Clearly
Rolf Dobelli
3 shared citationsThinking, Fast and Slow
Daniel Kahneman
3 shared citations
Tools of Titans
Tim Ferriss
2 shared citations
Superforecasting
Philip Tetlock
2 shared citationsAlgorithms to Live By
Brian Christian
2 shared citations
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
Howard Marks
2 shared citationsThis book and its direct connections. Hover a node to see its title, click to visit.
Hover a node to highlight its connections. Click to open the book page. Node size reflects total citation links.
